Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?

No100 %
Yes0 %

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Se resuelve19 abr 2027dentro de 7 meses

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 sept9 sept16 sept23 sept1 octLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

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Comparables, no idénticas. The published criteria are materially identical; only the displayed resolution times differ (Polymarket: January 1, 2028; Opinion: April 30, 2027), which does not change the event being measured.
  • Polymarketeste mercado

    Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    158 titulares · 802 comentarios · leído 1 oct, 04:24 UTC

  • OpinionAbrir →

    Next French Presidential Election — Jean Castex

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    leído 1 oct, 04:47 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket93 % NoAbierto
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket57 % NoAbierto
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket81 % NoAbierto
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket98 % NoAbierto
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket99 % NoAbierto
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket87 % NoAbierto
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Titulares158
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Comentarios774

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774 comentarios

Los comentarios pertenecen al evento de la plataforma, no a este resultado. Todas las variantes del mismo evento comparten este hilo.
  • Hot-Skull · hace 3 horas

    RORO crypto qui va pas tarder a nous faire une vidéo sur David Lisnard ☺️

  • Wise-Bison-Wolf · hace 13 horas

    le pen at 43 but polybro edge sees the gap closing, market hasnt adjusted

  • Reckless-Verve · hace 22 horas

    Lagarde can win the election ... tic tac... 0.4 is free money.

  • BrentonTarrantNewZealand · hace 23 horas

    Declare Marine Le Pen as the Queen of France at this point

  • The-Last-Degen · anteayer

    Where is that guy that bet the house on Villepin

  • WhaleWatch-02684 · anteayer

    Tradman holds $13,755.64 on Marine Le Pen outcome Yes. Unrealized profit: $6,670.70. They turned $7,084.94 into over $13,755.64.

  • martinreddot · hace 3 días

    Amazing that she could even be candidate!

  • Hot-Skull · hace 3 días

    I think we have other more important problems

  • Hot-Skull · hace 3 días

    Pareil

  • Giorgio2 · hace 3 días

    I could fuck with Clemence Guette if asked to

  • Fond-Killing · hace 3 días

    I can't lie Lisnard is a great candidate. He has got confidence and quite literally he is the most articulate Presidential candidate. However, I am unable to support him as he does not endorse a policy to fully ban hijab in all public spaces. It's about time French people realize that hijabs are just as bad as burqas

  • RoadtoSanary · hace 3 días

    Parce que personne le connaît pour l'instant

  • RoadtoSanary · hace 3 días

    Lisnard a des chances de passer, il dit pas de la merde, il est en fort en débat, il a du charisme mais le problème est qu'il est pas assez connu

  • WhaleWatch-17056 · hace 3 días

    lastminwin is up 9.34% on their $35,498.84 bet on Édouard Philippe with outcome No. Current value: $38,815.91. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

  • Fond-Killing · hace 3 días

    Don't worry about that at all. Le Pen is double digits ahead of both Melenchon and Phillipe in the first round. The second round worries be because tyrants like Islamists and white liberal women will form a bloc to vote against Le Pen.

  • WhaleWatch-65063 · hace 3 días

    lastminwin is up 9.34% on their $35,498.84 bet on Édouard Philippe with outcome No. Current value: $38,815.91. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

  • WhaleWatch-57678 · hace 3 días

    flovertaco is currently one of the most profitable traders on Marine Le Pen with already $3,607.98 / +40.59% in total gains. Their position: $12,497.03 on outcome Yes. When the top earner doubles down, keep watching.

  • Baggy-Lion · hace 4 días

    I first was about to trash talk on you but its actually not a bad idea except if we all do that she might not go 2 round SO no thanks you, lets just make here pass first round

  • Hot-Skull · hace 4 días

    Lisnard ☺️

  • Fond-Killing · hace 4 días

    To all the French patriots out there. Please vote Melenchon in the first round to ensure that Le Pen and Melenchon gets paired in the second round. Even a dog can win against the Islamist Melenchon. If Édouard Phillipe advances to the second round, Le Pen could be in trouble as Phillipe will attract a sizeable portion of moderate voters.

A las 1 oct, 04:49 UTC