Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

No98 %
Yes2 %

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Se resuelve19 abr 2027dentro de 7 meses

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 sept9 sept16 sept23 sept29 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

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Comparables, no idénticas. The venues use different displayed resolution timestamps (April 30, 2027 versus January 1, 2028), but their published criteria specify the same election and the same December 31, 2027 fallback; this timing difference is not material.
  • OpinionAbrir →

    Next French Presidential Election — Bruno Retailleau

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    leído 29 sept, 22:07 UTC

  • Polymarketeste mercado

    Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    417 titulares · 768 comentarios · leído 21 sept, 14:28 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket57 % NoAbierto
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket99 % NoAbierto
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket86 % NoAbierto
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket92 % NoAbierto
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket99 % NoAbierto
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket95 % NoAbierto
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket82 % NoAbierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Titulares417
Valor en posiciones—
Operaciones (24 h)—
Operaciones—
Interés abierto—
Comentarios769

Mejor compra 99 % · mejor venta 99 %

Mayores titulares

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  • ymbetzzz76158784025338420583901765224531190025719662766883390440253608804161057467141
  • LiquidatedDegen76158784025338420583901765224531190025719662766883390440253608804161057467141
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  • john-difool76158784025338420583901765224531190025719662766883390440253608804161057467141

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Debate en Predxy

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769 comentarios

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  • WhaleWatch-02684 · hace 16 horas

    Tradman holds $13,755.64 on Marine Le Pen outcome Yes. Unrealized profit: $6,670.70. They turned $7,084.94 into over $13,755.64.

  • martinreddot · ayer

    Amazing that she could even be candidate!

  • Hot-Skull · anteayer

    I think we have other more important problems

  • Hot-Skull · anteayer

    Pareil

  • Giorgio2 · anteayer

    I could fuck with Clemence Guette if asked to

  • Fond-Killing · anteayer

    I can't lie Lisnard is a great candidate. He has got confidence and quite literally he is the most articulate Presidential candidate. However, I am unable to support him as he does not endorse a policy to fully ban hijab in all public spaces. It's about time French people realize that hijabs are just as bad as burqas

  • RoadtoSanary · anteayer

    Parce que personne le connaît pour l'instant

  • RoadtoSanary · anteayer

    Lisnard a des chances de passer, il dit pas de la merde, il est en fort en débat, il a du charisme mais le problème est qu'il est pas assez connu

  • WhaleWatch-17056 · anteayer

    lastminwin is up 9.34% on their $35,498.84 bet on Édouard Philippe with outcome No. Current value: $38,815.91. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

  • Fond-Killing · anteayer

    Don't worry about that at all. Le Pen is double digits ahead of both Melenchon and Phillipe in the first round. The second round worries be because tyrants like Islamists and white liberal women will form a bloc to vote against Le Pen.

  • WhaleWatch-65063 · anteayer

    lastminwin is up 9.34% on their $35,498.84 bet on Édouard Philippe with outcome No. Current value: $38,815.91. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

  • WhaleWatch-57678 · anteayer

    flovertaco is currently one of the most profitable traders on Marine Le Pen with already $3,607.98 / +40.59% in total gains. Their position: $12,497.03 on outcome Yes. When the top earner doubles down, keep watching.

  • Baggy-Lion · anteayer

    I first was about to trash talk on you but its actually not a bad idea except if we all do that she might not go 2 round SO no thanks you, lets just make here pass first round

  • Hot-Skull · anteayer

    Lisnard ☺️

  • Fond-Killing · anteayer

    To all the French patriots out there. Please vote Melenchon in the first round to ensure that Le Pen and Melenchon gets paired in the second round. Even a dog can win against the Islamist Melenchon. If Édouard Phillipe advances to the second round, Le Pen could be in trouble as Phillipe will attract a sizeable portion of moderate voters.

  • Warm-Supplier · anteayer

    T'as la haine le gaucho ?

  • Bouba0 · hace 3 días

    New poll coming out Monday, Melenchon’s in the 2nd round at 20%, with LePen.

  • perfectnostalgia · hace 3 días

    "It's Christinith! Are you stupid or are you deaf?!"

  • Clemptefr · hace 3 días

    Next poll on Monday: Le Pen 57% – Philippe 43%. Mélenchon qualifies for the second round in every scenario.

  • Bouba0 · hace 3 días

    Do people realise that Melencho’s ahead of Philippe in the polls? He’s at 20% btw

A las 29 sept, 22:30 UTC