Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Marco Rubio

No85 %
Yes15 %

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Se resuelve10 nov 2028dentro de 2 años

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Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 oct, 08:202 oct, 12:212 oct, 16:222 oct, 20:23

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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve on whether Marco Rubio wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>). Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Marco Rubio. If all three sources have not called the race for Marco Rubio by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Marco Rubio is inaugurated. If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Marco Rubio is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Otherwise, the market resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

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Comparables, no idénticas. Polymarket and PredictFun use AP, Fox News, and NBC calls, with inauguration as the fallback; Gemini uses the same sources and inauguration fallback but adds an FEC and eventual last-traded-price fallback. They also list different expected settlement timestamps.
  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    2,6 mil titulares · 1 mil comentarios · leído 30 sept, 11:37 UTC

  • PredictFunAbrir →

    Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    leído 2 oct, 14:43 UTC

  • Geminieste mercado

    Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Marco Rubio

    This market will resolve on whether Marco Rubio wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>). Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Marco Rubio. If all three sources have not called the race for Marco Rubio by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Marco Rubio is inaugurated. If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Marco Rubio is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Otherwise, the market resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive.

    leído 2 oct, 20:02 UTC

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