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Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

No85 %

Yes15 %

Precio comprobado el 30 sept, 06:35 UTC

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Comparables, no idénticas. PredictFun resolves by credible reporting or, if ambiguous, French Ministry of the Interior results, with an end-2027 fallback; Kalshi specifies a May 31, 2027 resolution time and no source. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.

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Next French presidential election winner?: Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
If Gabriel Attal wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
leído 29 sept, 22:34 UTC
PredictFuneste mercado
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
leído 30 sept, 01:37 UTC

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A las 30 sept, 06:50 UTC