Next French presidential election winner?: Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?

No99 %
Sarah Knafo1 %

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Se resuelve31 may 2027dentro de 8 meses

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%7 sept13 sept19 sept24 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

If Sarah Knafo wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

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Comparables, no idénticas. PredictFun specifies resolution by credible reporting or French Ministry of the Interior results, includes an early election, and falls back to “Other” if unresolved by December 31, 2027; Kalshi publishes a May 31, 2027 resolution time and no source or fallback criteria. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the event being measured.
  • Kalshieste mercado

    Next French presidential election winner?: Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?

    If Sarah Knafo wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    leído 30 sept, 10:51 UTC

  • PredictFunAbrir →

    Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    leído 30 sept, 16:56 UTC

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