2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will François Ruffin appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

No71 %
François Ruffin29 %

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Se resuelve30 jun 2027dentro de 9 meses

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%7 sept13 sept18 sept24 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

If François Ruffin is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

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Comparables, no idénticas. PredictFun and Polymarket use the Constitutional Council’s candidate list, with credible reporting as a fallback, and otherwise use actual ballot appearance; PredictFun has no fixed resolution timestamp, while Polymarket and Kalshi resolve around the June 30, 2027 cutoff. These are settlement-procedure and labeling differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • Kalshieste mercado

    2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will François Ruffin appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

    If François Ruffin is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    leído 30 sept, 11:36 UTC

  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    35 titulares · 103 comentarios · leído 26 sept, 20:22 UTC

  • PredictFunAbrir →

    Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    leído 30 sept, 05:59 UTC

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