Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

No99 %
Yes1 %

Precio comprobado el

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Volumen 24 h35,9 mil US$
Volumen 7 d119,3 mil US$
Volumen 30 d302,1 mil US$
Liquidez151,2 mil US$
Spread0 %
Se resuelve9 dic 2026dentro de 2 meses

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 sept9 sept16 sept23 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. The published resolution criteria differ in no material way. Polymarket lists a December 9, 2026 23:59 UTC resolution timestamp, while PredictFun lists no resolvesAt timestamp; both may resolve after the FOMC statement.
  • PredictFunAbrir →

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    leído 30 sept, 06:45 UTC

  • Polymarketeste mercado

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    188 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 25 sept, 22:27 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Polymarket76 % NoAbierto
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Polymarket75 % YesAbierto
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Polymarket99 % NoAbierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Titulares188
Valor en posiciones—
Operaciones (24 h)—
Operaciones—
Interés abierto—
Comentarios0

Mejor compra 99 % · mejor venta 99 %

Mayores titulares

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296623677896678650147625251750117853328843601853501710889530409633595389256242910
  • jozeslemsek77367448845023382525249480243608609306658725883285195065573683809293972009019
  • SuperDog2377367448845023382525249480243608609306658725883285195065573683809293972009019
  • HolyMoses777367448845023382525249480243608609306658725883285195065573683809293972009019
  • Colorless-Vanity-Scope77367448845023382525249480243608609306658725883285195065573683809293972009019

Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.

Operaciones recientes

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  • BUY1 %5 US$hace 5 días
  • SELL1 %10,6 US$hace 5 días
  • BUY1 %1,2 US$hace 5 días
  • SELL1 %1,2 US$hace 5 días
  • SELL1 %4,3 US$hace 5 días

Debate en Predxy

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A las 30 sept, 11:02 UTC