Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No90 %
Yes11 %

Precio comprobado el

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Volumen 24 h4,7 mil US$
Volumen 7 d11,1 mil US$
Volumen 30 d57,4 mil US$
Liquidez34 mil US$
Spread1 %
Se resuelve31 dic 2026dentro de 3 meses

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 sept9 sept16 sept23 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. PredictFun does not publish a separate settlement timestamp, while Polymarket lists December 31, 2026 at 17:00 UTC; this corresponds to the same 12:00 PM ET check time. The published source and fallback rules are otherwise identical.
  • Polymarketeste mercado

    Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

    166 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 25 sept, 11:19 UTC

  • PredictFunAbrir →

    Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

    leído 30 sept, 00:21 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket79 % YesAbierto
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket99 % NoAbierto
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket93 % NoAbierto
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket99 % NoAbierto
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket98 % NoAbierto
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Titulares166
Valor en posiciones—
Operaciones (24 h)—
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Interés abierto—
Comentarios0

Mejor compra 90 % · mejor venta 91 %

Mayores titulares

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296612158180184189429812531457342591452610883474686342531973728413744093391328224
  • Mac-Gyver46179164836162469124070224186387483861653666680647006036020478594822732769561
  • ImBruceWayne46179164836162469124070224186387483861653666680647006036020478594822732769561
  • anoin12346179164836162469124070224186387483861653666680647006036020478594822732769561
  • kl1v46179164836162469124070224186387483861653666680647006036020478594822732769561

Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.

Operaciones recientes

  • BUY10 %4 US$hace 6 días
  • BUY90 %9 US$hace 6 días
  • BUY90 %9 US$hace 6 días
  • BUY11 %10 US$hace 6 días
  • BUY11 %9,9 US$hace 6 días
  • BUY90 %9 US$hace 6 días

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A las 30 sept, 02:09 UTC