Cargando…
Predxy

Buscar

Escribe al menos dos caracteres.

PolymarketAbierto

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No96 %
Yes4 %

Precio comprobado el

Operar
Define tu país para ver dónde puedes operar.Definir tu país →
Abre la plataforma en una pestaña nueva, a través de Predxy.
Volumen 24 h15,5 mil US$
Volumen 7 d86,1 mil US$
Volumen 30 d229,1 mil US$
Liquidez154,5 mil US$
Spread0 %
Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

Historial de probabilidades

Arrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar

Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 sept9 sept16 sept23 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Crimea is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?Polymarket91 % NoAbierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Titulares696
Valor en posiciones—
Operaciones (24 h)—
Operaciones—
Interés abierto—
Comentarios534

Mejor compra 4 % · mejor venta 4 %

Mayores titulares

  • ZnotluvuiSamez67011482977279466154940850972585572311207926803952896052113224614375102184687
  • GoriIIa72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781
  • NeH72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781
  • Joe-Biden67011482977279466154940850972585572311207926803952896052113224614375102184687
  • ololololololololo72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781

Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.

Operaciones recientes

  • SELL4 %0,6 US$hace 5 días
  • SELL96 %2 US$hace 5 días
  • BUY96 %5 US$hace 5 días
  • SELL96 %48,1 US$hace 6 días
  • SELL96 %96,2 US$hace 6 días
  • SELL96 %23 US$hace 6 días

Debate en Predxy

Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.

Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.

534 comentarios

Los comentarios pertenecen al evento de la plataforma, no a este resultado. Todas las variantes del mismo evento comparten este hilo.
  • Bromley86 · hace 17 días

    They never had the codes, and couldn't have maintained them anyway. They'd have been better off stealing some of the tactical nukes, but Russia secured those.

  • abdoohl · hace 22 días

    Ukraine should just let it go. Just like the gave up their nukes, so dumb n naive giving away their nukes! Had they opted to keep their nukes it would have been way easier to keep Crimea too, just sayin

  • abdoohl · el mes pasado

    Ukrainian astrologer prays to an icon of Zelensky —as well as to Bandera, Shukhevych, and other Nazis. She prays and performs bizarre rituals so that Ukraine gets more Patriot missiles and more "Flamingo" missiles to strike Russia.

  • xew4w3345 · el mes pasado

    I live in Moscow and want it to be a part of Norway or Zwitzerland. What are we gonna do?

  • abdoohl · el mes pasado

    prepare to lose your money!

  • Shrill-Racer · el mes pasado

    They're not... learn english

  • Bromley86 · el mes pasado

    This is what happens when 1 out of 11 gets through. And that was nearly a month ago.

  • DrOetker · el mes pasado

    THEIR NOT GETTING THE KRIM. GIVE ME MY DOLLAR!!!!!!!!

  • 12beduins · el mes pasado

    Ukraine so worthless, its really quite remarkable how worthless it is!

  • 12beduins · el mes pasado

    WATCH: Military recruitment officers in Kropyvnytskyi detained a taxi driver while he was working, despite the fact that he had a pre-booked appointment. The passenger was thrown out onto the street.

  • pink.impala · el mes pasado

    Is women's mobilization needed? If women have equal rights with men, then they should also have equal duties – equal duties to defend Ukraine, – says Ukrainian Armed Forces sergeant and squad leader Yulia Kobrynovych.

  • JimScott1 · el mes pasado

    Intercepting almost all missiles? Lying to yourself. Six people died. You and pink impala were not among the six people? Damn!

  • JimScott1 · el mes pasado

    Ukraine launched hundreds of drones across Russia on Sunday, killing at least six people in one of Kyiv's largest aerial attacks of the war.

  • abdoohl · el mes pasado

    Russian air defenses are already intercepting almost all Ukrainian Flamingo cruise missiles, reports the German publication Focus. 🦩 🦩 🦩

  • JimScott1 · hace 2 meses

    BREAKING: Ukraine has carried out a series of long-range strikes in Russia, hitting a military airfield and a rocket centre that supports the Russian Starlink-style satellite internet network. GREAT!!!

  • AlexB20 · hace 2 meses

    Why do u support Zelenskyy then? People in Crimea wants to be a part of Russia

  • EnzoTheUser · hace 2 meses

    i know, j3ws already have plans for it, including flooding my country with 3rd world tr@sh

  • pink.impala · hace 2 meses

    prepare to have your country turned to landlocked rump state!

  • szivar.4 · hace 2 meses

    Thy should create a market for June 2027 and Dec 2027

  • EnzoTheUser · hace 2 meses

    try to play Ukr music in russia, prison right away

A las 30 sept, 03:56 UTC