Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

No89 %
Yes12 %

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Se resuelve31 dic 2026dentro de 3 meses

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 sept9 sept16 sept23 sept29 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. Polymarket and Opinion use essentially identical criteria and default to No if the winner is not announced by June 30, 2027; Kalshi does not state that fallback deadline in the provided text. Settlement timestamps differ, but this does not change the underlying question.
  • Polymarketeste mercado

    Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

    38 titulares · 12 comentarios · leído 28 sept, 14:32 UTC

  • KalshiAbrir →

    Time's Person of the Year for 2026: Will Donald Trump be Time Person of the Year in 2026?

    If Donald Trump is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning). Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”. Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005. If Time uses language that does not specifically refer to a person or organization (examples being 2018’s “The Guardians of Truth” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), Kalshi will resolve markets to the most simple meaning reasonable. In those cases, “Journalists” and “the Me Too movement” would resolve to Yes. This does NOT count towards the payout criterion: If there is no Person of the Year (and instead many variations thereof, e.g. Entertainer of the Year, Hero of the Year), that is not encompassed in the Payout Criterion. If “ChatGPT” was the Person of the Year, strikes of “AI” or “LLMs” would resolve to No, since even if they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous (and thus are not explicitly named), and are not persons, so it would not matter if they were identified in the image. Or if “Sam Altman” was the Person of the Year, and the cover showed a person using ChatGPT on their computer, “ChatGPT” would not resolve to Yes because it is not a person. This market and these products have not been endorsed by TIME. Any references to TIME, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between TIME and Kalshi.

    leído 29 sept, 22:23 UTC

  • OpinionAbrir →

    TIME Person of the Year 2026 — Donald Trump

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

    leído 29 sept, 22:45 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will Jeremy Hansen be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket94 % NoAbierto
Will Bad Bunny be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket96 % NoAbierto
Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket97 % NoAbierto
Will Jerome Powell be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket97 % NoAbierto
Will Reid Wiseman be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket95 % NoAbierto
Will Shehbaz Sharif be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket94 % NoAbierto
Will ChatGPT be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket96 % NoAbierto
Will Taylor Swift be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket96 % NoAbierto
Will Sam Altman be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket96 % NoAbierto
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket97 % NoAbierto
Will Victor Glover be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket92 % NoAbierto
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket96 % NoAbierto
Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket96 % NoAbierto
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket91 % NoAbierto
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket95 % NoAbierto
Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket94 % NoAbierto
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket96 % NoAbierto
Will Ali Khamenei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket93 % NoAbierto
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket81 % NoAbierto
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket71 % NoAbierto
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket94 % NoAbierto
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket95 % NoAbierto
Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket95 % NoAbierto
Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Polymarket94 % NoAbierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Titulares38
Valor en posiciones—
Operaciones (24 h)—
Operaciones—
Interés abierto—
Comentarios11

Mejor compra 89 % · mejor venta 90 %

Mayores titulares

  • bifurcatio48718143209624693256819602231099408338723531923132662349159259974089875524537
  • Ztalic55660108007606265786043981619562704583897999652265582673499371383418897683387
  • Poopyface48718143209624693256819602231099408338723531923132662349159259974089875524537
  • cocococococo48718143209624693256819602231099408338723531923132662349159259974089875524537
  • PaddyAlpha55660108007606265786043981619562704583897999652265582673499371383418897683387

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11 comentarios

Los comentarios pertenecen al evento de la plataforma, no a este resultado. Todas las variantes del mismo evento comparten este hilo.
  • enrico-vasaio · hace 8 días

    bruh, he's Epstein's nephew

  • Little-Anguish · hace 8 días

    so, according to the Copilot AI overview: "The most recent TIME Person of the Year is Punch, a 7‑month‑old Japanese macaque, selected early for 2026" soMeOnE PRopOSe?? ;?

  • TeeVee27 · hace 9 días

    He is at over 40 percent over on the other one

  • RiseFromTheAshes · hace 11 días

    Give me a market for Mark Carney!

  • TeeVee27 · hace 11 días

    They added him on FanDuel after I asked.

  • YuliaKyiv · hace 12 días

    Add Mark Carney please 🇨🇦

  • Probs · el mes pasado

    Y'all know who owns the Times right? The 🧃 will never allow mamdani to be person of the year.

  • Donkoclock · hace 2 meses

    Zohran!!

  • MexicanGambler · hace 2 meses

    I don't think so, he's been "loosing" value on these weeks, and theres no justification yet

  • MrRobertHouse · hace 4 meses

    Elon Musk will be the first trillionaire in history this year.

  • joember · hace 4 meses

    MP hajrá!

A las 29 sept, 23:03 UTC