PolymarketAbiertoParte de una pregunta en varias plataformas →

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

No84 %

Yes17 %

Precio comprobado el 30 sept, 05:12 UTC

Operar

Define tu país para ver dónde puedes operar.Definir tu país →

Abre la plataforma en una pestaña nueva, a través de Predxy.

Volumen 24 h758,5 US$

Volumen 7 d1,2 mil US$

Volumen 30 d9,5 mil US$

Liquidez16,1 mil US$

Spread1 %

Se resuelve31 dic 2026dentro de 3 meses

Historial de probabilidades

Probabilidades implícitas del mercado · Todo el historial registrado

Arrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar

Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

2 plataformas la tienen

Ver la pregunta combinada →

Comparables, no idénticas. Resolution criteria have not been compared by a person yet. Venues may settle this question on different sources or dates.

LimitlessAbrir →
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/ . This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
3 titulares · leído 30 sept, 01:34 UTC
Polymarketeste mercado
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
192 titulares · 4 comentarios · leído 27 sept, 14:07 UTC

Actividad en la plataforma

Leído de la plataforma hace 3 días

Titulares192

Valor en posiciones—

Operaciones (24 h)—

Operaciones—

Interés abierto—

Comentarios4

Mejor compra 16 % · mejor venta 17 %

Mayores titulares

ImJustKen51521497779380154558858664227546451933112892150984250255096573026768867177192
denizz84641922064827552827253311981339741860829640000680909725575149181637431473946
BondSeeker84641922064827552827253311981339741860829640000680909725575149181637431473946
BTCGambler24784641922064827552827253311981339741860829640000680909725575149181637431473946
eccho51521497779380154558858664227546451933112892150984250255096573026768867177192

Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.

Operaciones recientes

SELL83 %7 US$hace 3 días
BUY17 %1,5 US$hace 3 días
SELL83 %4,9 US$hace 3 días
BUY17 %1,5 US$hace 3 días
BUY17 %1 US$hace 3 días
SELL16 %6,6 US$hace 3 días

Debate en Predxy

Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.

Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.

Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.

4 comentarios

Del hilo propio de Polymarket

Los comentarios pertenecen al evento de la plataforma, no a este resultado. Todas las variantes del mismo evento comparten este hilo.

BondSeeker · hace 12 días
UAE already out, rest of the countries probably will wait for OPEC next move on quota before deciding to leave.
dsb · hace 5 meses
an african country will leave OPEC this year in favor of american oil energy investment
kotil.eth · hace 5 meses
opec üyesi 12 ülke var . bu bahis olası evet görünüyor.
Forthright-Gallery · hace 5 meses
The UAE exit sets a precedent, but Kuwait and Iraq do not have the same freedom or economic diversification as the UAE. They are more vulnerable and more tied to Saudi Arabia’s orbit. While both are frustrated, a quick follow-on exit is unlikely in 2026 unless the Hormuz situation causes a total breakdown in OPEC+ cooperation.

A las 30 sept, 05:24 UTC