Iran leadership change by December 31?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Abierto |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 78 % No | Abierto |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Polymarket | 95 % No | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 4 díasMejor compra 11 % · mejor venta 12 %
Mayores titulares
- stupid2260499458684380641857666641513383149627633695110197406276308452075860198022694
- Amrosein18652479948917565296149340091675894865339012333173025944893512396354173886674
- classified18652479948917565296149340091675894865339012333173025944893512396354173886674
- 3.3.318652479948917565296149340091675894865339012333173025944893512396354173886674
- Llalalala60499458684380641857666641513383149627633695110197406276308452075860198022694
Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.
Operaciones recientes
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- BUY12 %5,5 US$hace 4 días
- BUY11 %5,1 mil US$hace 4 días
Debate en Predxy
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Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
991 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- David.Brown19 · hace 11 días
prediсuе flagged low confidence on a signal today. i didn't enter. market crashed against everyone. thanks for being honest
- 12beduins · hace 13 días
- Jatheripper · hace 15 días
good luck killing the dead
- abdoohl · hace 19 días
- Robbb · hace 2 meses
lol
- Prickly-Passport · hace 2 meses
Breaking:Mojtaba waked up !
- altdel · hace 2 meses
As always, just Iranian rumors. Take advantage while others are selling.
- Mikelious · hace 2 meses
BREAKING 🔴 Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is in extremely critical condition and could pass away at any moment, two sources close to the Pezeshkian administration told IranWire.
- NOIZYUV · hace 2 meses
Mojtaba Khamenei's father-in-law, former Iranian Parliament Speaker Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel, in an interview with the Iranian IRNA agency: "For certain reasons, he is not in contact with any entity or person, hoping that he is healthy"
- Zubumafu · hace 2 meses
Better sell those 6K bro, they can't hide the fact that their leader is dead forever
- Treedud25 · hace 2 meses
Already over
- PMTraderAdam · hace 2 meses
In the city, 'member used to drive a Yukon
- Laurenman · hace 2 meses
Fact.
- GollumGekko · hace 2 meses
the dead cannot die
- Zubumafu · hace 2 meses
They will keep him as Zombie leader for the next 2-3 months and then replace him
- Zubumafu · hace 2 meses
He is likely dead, and if not, he will get assassinated, Trump is sick of him
- anónimo · hace 2 meses
Can a dead person be a de facto leader? What would Saul Kripke think of this?
- NOIZYUV · hace 2 meses
The Saudi channel Al-Hadath claims, citing an Israeli security source: "Mojtaba Khamenei is not in Iran."
- NOIZYUV · hace 3 meses
As a ghost maybe
- Zubumafu · hace 3 meses
Yeah that one is free money, just sucks that it's going to be a while until we receive it
A las 30 sept, 07:12 UTC