Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
824 titulares · 1 mil comentarios · leído 2 oct, 05:17 UTC
- PredictFunAbrir →
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
leído 2 oct, 14:48 UTC
- GeminiAbrir →
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Josh Shapiro
This market will resolve on whether Josh Shapiro wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>). Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Josh Shapiro. If all three sources have not called the race for Josh Shapiro by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Josh Shapiro is inaugurated. If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Josh Shapiro is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Otherwise, the market resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive.
leído 2 oct, 17:48 UTC
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Debate en Predxy
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1027 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- tapereadjim · hace 16 horas
billion dollar market and polybro tool is reading the market completely differently
- NotaJoe · anteayer
Vance has a decent familiarity headstart in public eyes compared to Cortez
- UltraRik · hace 6 días
please fix the color scheme @polymarket 🙏
- Clever-Bear · hace 7 días
vance keeps sliding and nobody can explain why, been watching polybro on this one and it picked up on the drift before the market did
- 435642376909 · hace 9 días
I'm waiting for the actual matchup
- dPredictor · hace 10 días
can someone explain why @hyperlong has 115k on both sides or AOC?
- STANIS11 · hace 10 días
ELON MUSK 100%
- KlarcKent · hace 11 días
A narrow polling lead leaves plenty of uncertainty in the presidential election
- Markan-TopV1 · hace 12 días
Guys I think I made best slogan for presidential election ever. Nobody's got this... you ready?... YOU'LL SEE ITS TULSI. I'm so good wow. 💪💪
- David.Brown19 · hace 13 días
prеdicue showed a whale entered before the volume became obvious. now that's analytics
- bullcycle · hace 16 días
the whole field and only one man's above 20, vance at 22 with aoc chasing at 13, the top spot on polybro hasn't changed hands all year
- RaymondVan · hace 16 días
Warnock 120x cheaper tho wiv same map
- ISMS2222 · hace 16 días
Every simulation I run of Ossoff vs. Vance has roughly 100 electoral votes shifting toward Ossoff’s side of the board. Ossoff isn’t just a 2028 play—he has the age and runway to be a serious 2032 contender as well. Newsom vs. Vance looks much closer to a coin flip. His California record gives Republicans an obvious affordability argument, and the establishment label could become increasingly difficult to escape. A major unanswered question is whether he can generate the Black turnout a Democratic nominee needs in states like Georgia and North Carolina. AOC has a different problem: expanding beyond her existing coalition. The more national exposure she gets, the more important that becomes. Ossoff’s potential advantage is the map. A Democrat who can seriously contest Georgia while remaining competitive across the traditional Democratic battlegrounds suddenly has multiple paths to 270. That’s what makes him interesting—not one poll, but the electoral geography.
- vhnhtr78ytj · hace 17 días
The electoral map matters more than vibes
- CKAB · hace 22 días
It's so obvious that he's winning in 2028 and 2032 and anyone who can't see that by now is a bozo.
- CKAB · hace 22 días
Ossoff. Easily.
- CKAB · hace 22 días
His path has become razor thin. The far right hates him more than anyone, and that's who got Trump into office.
- cvr5676 · hace 23 días
Vance has a plausible path, but nomination and election are separate hurdles.
- Lilit · hace 24 días
I'm waiting for clearer candidacies before declaring the race solved
- Growland · hace 24 días
Who has the clearest route to victory in the 2028 presidential election...😶🌫️
A las 2 oct, 17:50 UTC