Cargando…
Predxy

Buscar

Escribe al menos dos caracteres.

PolíticaFranciaFrancia

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

16 %Yes
2 ptsen 24 h

Todas las opciones · 2 opciones

  1. December 31 · esta pregunta16 %2
  2. October 316 %4
Volumen 24 h54,8 mil US$
Volumen total347,4 mil US$
Mercados11 plataforma, 1 con precio
Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 2 meses
Vista por primera vez18 oct 2026
Siguiendo0

De la edición de Hoy · 22 oct 2026

A typical photograph shows the French government building in Paris with the national flag flying overhead.
Foto ilustrativa · Jacques Descloitres, MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA/GSFC, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

This market asks whether France will declare a state of emergency by Dec. 31, 2026, and it resolves on that date. Under the 1955 law, a state of emergency is declared by decree in cabinet, and any extension beyond 12 days needs legislation. [1] The latest verified developments are from Oct. 22: Macron said “illegitimate” protests would be banned in the coming days after the Oct. 17 unrest, while Reuters said the government is still relying on curfews and tighter policing rather than announcing a nationwide emergency decree. On Oct. 19, Reuters reported that Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu ruled out a blanket curfew in Paris but did not rule out a state of emergency, leaving the issue open but not yet triggered. AP reported on Oct. 21-22 that France is still dealing with intense protests and riots, with demonstrations continuing in Paris and other cities. [2]

Contexto por Predxy AI · · en inglés

  1. 1. Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence. - Légifrance legifrance.gouv.fr
  2. 2. France's Macron tightens curbs on protests, blaming hard left for unrest | MarketScreener marketscreener.com

Contexto investigado por IA con enlaces a las fuentes. No explica ni predice movimientos del mercado.

Historial de probabilidades

Abrir el mercado

Arrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%18 oct20 oct21 oct23 oct25 oct19 oct 2026 · Reuters said Lecornu ruled out a blanket Paris curfew but left emergency powers open.419 oct 2026 · Curfews were imposed in parts of Paris, Lille and Nice.520 oct 2026 · The implementing decree was still in force.620 oct 2026 · AP said Paris and Lyon stayed calm overnight under the curfews.720 oct 2026 · Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu ordered localized curfews instead of emergency powers.821 oct 2026 · AP said France was still facing intense protests and riots in Paris and other cities.922 oct 2026 · Reuters said the government was using curfews and tighter policing instead of a nationwide decree.10Sube 10 puntos el 20 oct
▲▼ un movimiento de 8 puntos o más en un día

Basado en los precios del mercado de Polymarket. Pueden diferir de la probabilidad combinada de Predxy que aparece arriba.

Qué ha pasado

  1. The latest official text still showed the 1955 framework in force. Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence. - Légifrance
  2. Légifrance still showed the emergency law in force. TITRE Ier (Articles 1 à 14-1) - Légifrance
  3. Unrest broke out and Macron later said illegitimate protests would be banned. France's Macron tightens curbs on protests, blaming hard left for unrest | MarketScreener
  4. Reuters said Lecornu ruled out a blanket Paris curfew but left emergency powers open. France's Macron tightens curbs on protests, blaming hard left for unrest | MarketScreener
  5. Curfews were imposed in parts of Paris, Lille and Nice. Paris police issue overnight curfew in 2 areas of French capital to try to prevent further disorder
  6. The implementing decree was still in force. TITRE Ier (Articles 1 à 14-1) - Légifrance
  7. AP said Paris and Lyon stayed calm overnight under the curfews. Paris police issue overnight curfew in 2 areas of French capital to try to prevent further disorder
  8. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu ordered localized curfews instead of emergency powers. Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence. - Légifrance
  9. AP said France was still facing intense protests and riots in Paris and other cities. France's Macron tightens curbs on protests, blaming hard left for unrest | MarketScreener
  10. Reuters said the government was using curfews and tighter policing instead of a nationwide decree. France's Macron tightens curbs on protests, blaming hard left for unrest | MarketScreener
  11. Protest groups called another round of demonstrations for Oct. 25. Paris police issue overnight curfew in 2 areas of French capital to try to prevent further disorder

Fechado según las fuentes que cita el contexto de la pregunta y colocado junto al precio, nunca como la razón de su movimiento. Escrito por IA a partir de fuentes citadas; en inglés.

Si aciertas

$
Lado
PlataformaPrecioAccionesPagaBeneficio
Polymarket16¢625625 US$+525 US$ 6,3×

Cada acción paga 1 $ si el lado gana y nada si pierde. No incluye comisiones de la plataforma ni el movimiento del precio en una orden grande. * Último precio negociado, no una cotización en vivo. No es asesoramiento financiero.

Dónde se opera esta pregunta

Comparables, no idénticas. Cada plataforma redacta la pregunta y sus reglas de resolución a su manera: la fecha de liquidación, la fuente de verdad y los casos límite pueden diferir. Lee las reglas de cada plataforma antes de tratar dos precios como lo mismo.

Más de Política

Ver la categoría
  1. 1Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)
    39 %Yes2 pts
  2. 2Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton
    37 %Ken Paxton1 pts
  3. 3U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party
    91 %Yes0 pts
  4. 4Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)
    64 %Yes1 pts
  5. 52026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?: Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? R-House, R-Senate
    9 %Republicans sweep0 pts

A las 25 oct, 01:59 UTC · Los precios de mercado no son certezas.