Fed decision in October: 50+ bps cut

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Se resuelve28 oct 2026dentro de 26 días

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 oct, 00:432 oct, 05:292 oct, 10:142 oct, 15:00Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

No hay datos registrados antes del 2 oct en este período.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

La plataforma no publica criterios de resolución para este mercado.

FuentePolymarket market will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324029

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

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Comparables, no idénticas. The venues have different displayed resolution times, but this is immaterial because the relevant October FOMC statement determines the outcome. Pascal cites the Polymarket market and publishes no separate criteria; no material resolution difference is apparent.
  • LimitlessAbrir →

    Fed Decision in October: 50+ bps decrease

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm . The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm . This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    2 titulares · leído 2 oct, 11:43 UTC

  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    378 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 2 oct, 09:59 UTC

  • Pascaleste mercado

    Fed decision in October: 50+ bps cut

    La plataforma no publica criterios de resolución para este mercado.

    leído 2 oct, 15:06 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Fed decision in October: 25 bps hikePascal84 % NoAbierto
Fed decision in October: 25 bps cutPascal99 % NoAbierto
Fed decision in October: No changePascal82 % YesAbierto
Fed decision in October: 50+ bps hikePascal100 % NoAbierto

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A las 2 oct, 15:12 UTC