Fed decision in October: 25 bps hike

No82 %
Yes19 %

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Se resuelve28 oct 2026dentro de 26 días

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Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%1 oct, 18:252 oct, 01:392 oct, 08:522 oct, 16:06

No hay datos registrados antes del 1 oct en este período.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

La plataforma no publica criterios de resolución para este mercado.

FuentePolymarket market will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324032

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. Limitless and Polymarket publish materially identical criteria and use the FOMC statement and Federal Reserve data; Pascal cites the Polymarket market and publishes no separate criteria. Their listed resolution times differ (October 28 18:00 UTC, 23:59 UTC, and October 29 03:59 UTC), but this does not change the underlying question.
  • LimitlessAbrir →

    Fed Decision in October: 25 bps increase

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm . The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm . This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    2 titulares · leído 2 oct, 11:47 UTC

  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    1,4 mil titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 2 oct, 11:38 UTC

  • Pascaleste mercado

    Fed decision in October: 25 bps hike

    La plataforma no publica criterios de resolución para este mercado.

    leído 2 oct, 15:58 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Fed decision in October: 25 bps cutPascal99 % NoAbierto
Fed decision in October: No changePascal82 % YesAbierto
Fed decision in October: 50+ bps cutPascal—Abierto
Fed decision in October: 50+ bps hikePascal100 % NoAbierto

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A las 2 oct, 16:06 UTC