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Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?

No80 %

Yes21 %

Precio comprobado el 2 oct, 19:36 UTC

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Volumen 24 h266 US$

Volumen 7 d2,9 mil US$

Volumen 30 d3,8 mil US$

Liquidez15,3 mil US$

Spread2 %

Se resuelve5 oct 2026pasado mañana

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The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Comparables, no idénticas. Kalshi resolves at an earlier stated time and may resolve early based on designated media consensus, while Polymarket resolves by July 1, 2027 and specifies credible reporting or, if ambiguous, official TSE results. Polymarket includes an explicit fallback to “Other” if the result remains unknown; these are resolution-rule differences, not different questions.

KalshiAbrir →
Rio Grande do Norte Governor winner?: Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
If Cadu de Lula wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
leído 1 oct, 18:30 UTC
Polymarketeste mercado
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
47 titulares · 1 comentarios · leído 1 oct, 14:50 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

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Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Will Arinalda do MLB win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Henrique Lyra win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Carlos Jararaca win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Dário Barbosa win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Rodrigo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Professor Roberio Paulino win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	80 % Yes	867,9 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	99 % No	23,1 US$	—	—	Abierto

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Prize-Maybe · hace 3 días
Cadu à frente na Atlasintel de hoje (29/09) 🔴 Cadu de Lula (PT): 37,1% 🟡 Álvaro Dias (PL): 27,3% 🟢 Allyson (União Brasil): 27,1% ⚫ Outros: 2,5% ⚪ Branco/Nulo/Não sei: 6,0%

A las 2 oct, 20:07 UTC