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Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?

Yes75 %

No25 %

Precio comprobado el 2 oct, 04:14 UTC

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Volumen 24 h17,1 US$

Volumen 7 d4,3 mil US$

Volumen 30 d7,2 mil US$

Liquidez11,1 mil US$

Spread3 %

Se resuelve5 oct 2026dentro de 3 días

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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Comparables, no idénticas. Polymarket may resolve after the election, including a runoff, with a June 30, 2027 fallback and TSE/credible-reporting criteria. Kalshi lists October 4, 2026 and may resolve early based on designated media consensus; these are resolution-rule differences rather than different events.

Polymarketeste mercado
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
64 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 28 sept, 10:44 UTC
KalshiAbrir →
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
If Allyson wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
leído 1 oct, 18:03 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

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Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Will Arinalda do MLB win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Henrique Lyra win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Carlos Jararaca win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Dário Barbosa win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Rodrigo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Professor Roberio Paulino win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	76 % No	109,2 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	97 % No	3 US$	—	—	Abierto

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Mejor compra 15 % · mejor venta 18 %

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Seeking-Alpha0126787399292462186067065802746469200044226307299892885117304804886467400428657
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Serpentine-Majority71352779016189015332607649652262456476227883394744115700920079870326728388775
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1 comentario

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Prize-Maybe · anteayer
Cadu à frente na Atlasintel de hoje (29/09) 🔴 Cadu de Lula (PT): 37,1% 🟡 Álvaro Dias (PL): 27,3% 🟢 Allyson (União Brasil): 27,1% ⚫ Outros: 2,5% ⚪ Branco/Nulo/Não sei: 6,0%

A las 2 oct, 04:26 UTC