Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting). Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
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Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting). Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
leído 30 sept, 05:02 UTC
- Polymarketeste mercado
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting). Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
56 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 30 sept, 08:32 UTC
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 86 % No | Abierto |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 72 % No | Abierto |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 57 % Yes | Abierto |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 98 % No | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 3 horasMejor compra 99 % · mejor venta 100 %
Mayores titulares
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b129662282401050270361883472703544559694728840926643762391917014232686815525553693
- HolyMoses79552212006811911876110045383042611929843879325814561292867963637251995141825
- Neogenesis9552212006811911876110045383042611929843879325814561292867963637251995141825
- IP13809552212006811911876110045383042611929843879325814561292867963637251995141825
- Crazy-Hybridization9552212006811911876110045383042611929843879325814561292867963637251995141825
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Debate en Predxy
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A las 30 sept, 11:58 UTC