Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting). Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
La misma pregunta en otras plataformas
2 plataformas la tienen- Polymarketeste mercado
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting). Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
212 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 28 sept, 17:06 UTC
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Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting). Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
leído 30 sept, 15:29 UTC
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 82 % No | Abierto |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 86 % No | Abierto |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 99 % No | Abierto |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 98 % No | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma anteayerMejor compra 49 % · mejor venta 53 %
Mayores titulares
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296632475777992575382181528811204169322338789336560189457387763773770286919006756
- simpleman70385825801885444256285726169277138144171910910615374854814345084550291704671
- LA1770385825801885444256285726169277138144171910910615374854814345084550291704671
- 0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f22270970385825801885444256285726169277138144171910910615374854814345084550291704671
- GoldmanSachs70385825801885444256285726169277138144171910910615374854814345084550291704671
Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.
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A las 30 sept, 17:15 UTC