Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
Precio comprobado el
Historial de probabilidades
Probabilidades implícitas del mercado · Todo el historial registradoArrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar
Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
La misma pregunta en otras plataformas
2 plataformas la tienen- PredictFunAbrir →
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
leído 30 sept, 02:55 UTC
- Polymarketeste mercado
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
44 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 29 sept, 21:56 UTC
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Polymarket | 86 % No | Abierto |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Abierto |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? | Polymarket | 96 % No | Abierto |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? | Polymarket | 67 % No | Abierto |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? | Polymarket | 82 % No | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 5 horasMayores titulares
- libratus153677434622146539345785605045697483197934730276387625150351306236515121322131
- Perypery54582569831063355530072247029106943322776446137021951658697094382165387213201
- BabyIBeenWatchingYou53677434622146539345785605045697483197934730276387625150351306236515121322131
- Redgoldsnapper54582569831063355530072247029106943322776446137021951658697094382165387213201
- thecaricature54582569831063355530072247029106943322776446137021951658697094382165387213201
Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.
Operaciones recientes
- SELL3 %4,1 US$hace 5 días
- SELL4 %0,4 US$hace 12 días
- BUY95 %38 US$hace 13 días
- SELL94 %23,2 US$hace 15 días
- SELL94 %177,6 US$hace 15 días
- BUY5 %5 US$hace 17 días
Debate en Predxy
Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.
Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
A las 30 sept, 03:22 UTC