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Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

No87 %

Yes13 %

Precio comprobado el 30 sept, 15:36 UTC

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Liquidez251 US$

Spread6 %

Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

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Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

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Comparables, no idénticas. The published resolution criteria are identical in all material respects. Polymarket specifies a settlement timestamp of 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z, while PredictFun does not separately publish one; this is the same deadline in ET.

PredictFunAbrir →
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
leído 30 sept, 11:17 UTC
Polymarketeste mercado
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
92 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 29 sept, 21:51 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.

Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	Polymarket	96 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	Polymarket	97 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	Polymarket	96 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	Polymarket	82 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?	Polymarket	78 % No	259,1 US$	—	—	Abierto

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A las 30 sept, 15:56 UTC