Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Crimea is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment
O variantă citită singură induce în eroare; celelalte sunt alături.| Piață | Platformă | Preț | Stare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 98 % No | Deschisă |
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Citit de la platformă acum 21 de oreCel mai bun bid 90 % · cel mai bun ask 91 %
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538 de comentarii
Din discuția proprie a Polymarket- pink.impala · acum 3 zile
zelenki a russian agent leading ukraine by the nose to its destruction 🐷
- JimScott1 · acum 3 zile
-$774. What Putin and the people like you have done made more and more Americans support Ukraine.
- JimScott1 · acum 3 zile
Still dreaming? Zelenskyy will be allowed to manufacture patriot missiles in Ukraine!
- pink.impala · acum 3 zile
WOW can you believe Russia actually gets stronger and stronger over time and increase the intensity of their attacks while Ukriane gets weaker and weaker, what an incredible surprise so absolutely impossible to predict this would happen!!!!!!
- Bromley86 · acum 18 zile
They never had the codes, and couldn't have maintained them anyway. They'd have been better off stealing some of the tactical nukes, but Russia secured those.
- abdoohl · acum 23 de zile
Ukraine should just let it go. Just like the gave up their nukes, so dumb n naive giving away their nukes! Had they opted to keep their nukes it would have been way easier to keep Crimea too, just sayin
- abdoohl · luna trecută
Ukrainian astrologer prays to an icon of Zelensky —as well as to Bandera, Shukhevych, and other Nazis. She prays and performs bizarre rituals so that Ukraine gets more Patriot missiles and more "Flamingo" missiles to strike Russia.
- xew4w3345 · luna trecută
I live in Moscow and want it to be a part of Norway or Zwitzerland. What are we gonna do?
- abdoohl · luna trecută
prepare to lose your money!
- Shrill-Racer · luna trecută
They're not... learn english
- Bromley86 · luna trecută
This is what happens when 1 out of 11 gets through. And that was nearly a month ago.
- DrOetker · luna trecută
THEIR NOT GETTING THE KRIM. GIVE ME MY DOLLAR!!!!!!!!
- 12beduins · luna trecută
Ukraine so worthless, its really quite remarkable how worthless it is!
- 12beduins · luna trecută
WATCH: Military recruitment officers in Kropyvnytskyi detained a taxi driver while he was working, despite the fact that he had a pre-booked appointment. The passenger was thrown out onto the street.
- pink.impala · luna trecută
Is women's mobilization needed? If women have equal rights with men, then they should also have equal duties – equal duties to defend Ukraine, – says Ukrainian Armed Forces sergeant and squad leader Yulia Kobrynovych.
- JimScott1 · luna trecută
Intercepting almost all missiles? Lying to yourself. Six people died. You and pink impala were not among the six people? Damn!
- JimScott1 · luna trecută
Ukraine launched hundreds of drones across Russia on Sunday, killing at least six people in one of Kyiv's largest aerial attacks of the war.
- abdoohl · luna trecută
Russian air defenses are already intercepting almost all Ukrainian Flamingo cruise missiles, reports the German publication Focus. 🦩 🦩 🦩
- JimScott1 · acum 2 luni
BREAKING: Ukraine has carried out a series of long-range strikes in Russia, hitting a military airfield and a rocket centre that supports the Russian Starlink-style satellite internet network. GREAT!!!
- AlexB20 · acum 2 luni
Why do u support Zelenskyy then? People in Crimea wants to be a part of Russia
La 1 oct., 14:11 UTC