Fed Decision in October: No Change

Yes83 %
No18 %

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Volumen 24 h95,9 mil US$
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Se resuelve12 nov 2026el próximo mes

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Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 oct, 08:212 oct, 22:293 oct, 12:384 oct, 02:47

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will settle to Yes if the Federal Reserve does not change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate at the October 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for October 27-28. Outcome sourced from the Federal Reserve. If the change in the specified rate does not precisely match the displayed options, changes smaller than the smallest option of the same direction (increase/decrease) will be rounded to that smallest option, and changes greater than the smallest option of the same direction will be rounded to the nearest displayed option, with values exactly halfway between options being rounded away from zero.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. Polymarket specifies settlement by the Federal Reserve and resolves later, while Opinion cites the FOMC statement/official Federal Reserve sources and may resolve earlier. Opinion also specifies a fallback if no statement is released by the next meeting; these are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the event asked.
  • PolymarketUseste mercado

    Fed Decision in October: No Change

    This market will settle to Yes if the Federal Reserve does not change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate at the October 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for October 27-28. Outcome sourced from the Federal Reserve. If the change in the specified rate does not precisely match the displayed options, changes smaller than the smallest option of the same direction (increase/decrease) will be rounded to that smallest option, and changes greater than the smallest option of the same direction will be rounded to the nearest displayed option, with values exactly halfway between options being rounded away from zero.

    leído 4 oct, 01:09 UTC

  • OpinionAbrir →

    Fed Decision in October — No change

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    leído 4 oct, 02:43 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Fed Decision in October: 25 bps IncreasePolymarketUs84 % NoAbierto
Fed Decision in October: 25 bps DecreasePolymarketUs99 % NoAbierto
Fed Decision in October: 50+ bps IncreasePolymarketUs99 % NoAbierto
Fed Decision in October: 50+ bps DecreasePolymarketUs—Abierto

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A las 4 oct, 02:58 UTC