EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 652.349984 by Dec 31? 4% or more above base
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Historial de probabilidades
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No hay datos registrados antes del 1 oct en este período.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
If the European Commission reports a weekly Adult male indicative price (ACZ URO) for beef carcasses in the European Union at least 652.349984 EUR per 100 kg for any eligible reporting week in October 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive reporting-week End Dates), then the market resolves to Yes. The European Commission's Beef Prices Data Explorer provides the weekly Price in EUR per 100 kg with these filters: Member State: European Union Category: Adult male indicative price Product: ACZ URO The all-weeks average and other cattle categories do NOT count. Source-reported prices are used without additional rounding. An eligible reporting week has its source End Date within the observation window, inclusive. A week ending after the quarter deadline does NOT count. The threshold is 104% of the fixed reference strike of 627.2596 EUR per 100 kg, calculated without intermediate rounding. A price exactly equal to the threshold qualifies. One qualifying weekly observation is sufficient even if later observations fall below the threshold. The COMMODITIES contract governs corrections within 24 hours, delayed or missing publications, early expiration, and contingencies. The latest scheduled expiration is January 7, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET.
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A las 2 oct, 10:24 UTC