House control after 2026 midterms: Republican Party

No93 %
Yes7 %

Precio comprobado el

Operar
Define tu país para ver dónde puedes operar.Definir tu país →
Abre la plataforma en una pestaña nueva, a través de Predxy.
Volumen 24 h303 US$
Volumen 7 d—
Volumen 30 d—
Liquidez—
Spread1 %
Se resuelve4 nov 2026el próximo mes

Historial de probabilidades

Arrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%1 oct, 18:252 oct, 01:192 oct, 08:132 oct, 15:08

No hay datos registrados antes del 1 oct en este período.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

La plataforma no publica criterios de resolución para este mercado.

FuentePolymarket market will-the-republican-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. Limitless and Opinion use a similar Speaker-selection fallback, while Polymarket specifies detailed seat-attribution and caucus rules; Pascal publishes no criteria and references Polymarket. Resolution timestamps differ slightly, but this does not alter the event being measured.
  • LimitlessAbrir →

    Which party will win the House in 2026: Republican Party

    This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.

    10 titulares · leído 2 oct, 13:33 UTC

  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

    This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated. The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber. All House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

    1,8 mil titulares · 2 comentarios · leído 2 oct, 05:41 UTC

  • OpinionAbrir →

    Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026 — Republican Party

    This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.

    leído 2 oct, 15:02 UTC

  • Pascaleste mercado

    House control after 2026 midterms: Republican Party

    La plataforma no publica criterios de resolución para este mercado.

    leído 2 oct, 15:04 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
House control after 2026 midterms: Democratic PartyPascal93 % YesAbierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Titulares—
Valor en posiciones—
Operaciones (24 h)—
Operaciones—
Interés abierto—
Comentarios0

Debate en Predxy

Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.

Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.

A las 2 oct, 15:09 UTC