PolymarketAbierto

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 2?

No84 %
Yes17 %

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Volumen 24 h819 US$
Volumen 7 d819 US$
Volumen 30 d819 US$
Liquidez1,4 mil US$
Spread3 %
Se resuelve2 oct 2026pasado mañana

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%30 sept, 06:3930 sept, 12:0230 sept, 17:2630 sept, 22:49Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

No hay datos registrados antes del 30 sept en este período.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?Polymarket66 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 2?Polymarket53 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?Polymarket94 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2?Polymarket99 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 2?Polymarket99 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on October 2?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 2?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 2?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on October 2?Polymarket99 % NoAbierto

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A las 30 sept, 22:59 UTC