What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 30, 2026? Magnitude of at least 5.8
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Historial de probabilidades
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No hay datos registrados antes del 30 sept en este período.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 30, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.6 | Kalshi | 91 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 30, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.2 | Kalshi | 91 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 30, 2026? Magnitude of at least 7.0 | Kalshi | 97 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 30, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.8 | Kalshi | 94 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 30, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.4 | Kalshi | 91 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 30, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.0 | Kalshi | 71 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 30, 2026? Magnitude of at least 5.2 | Kalshi | 99 % Magnitude of at least 5.2 | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 30, 2026? Magnitude of at least 5.6 | Kalshi | 99 % Magnitude of at least 5.6 | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 30, 2026? Magnitude of at least 5.4 | Kalshi | 99 % Magnitude of at least 5.4 | Abierto |
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A las 30 sept, 17:04 UTC