PolymarketAbierto

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?

No73 %
Yes28 %

Precio comprobado el

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Abre la plataforma en una pestaña nueva, a través de Predxy.
Volumen 24 h—
Volumen 7 d—
Volumen 30 d—
Liquidez198,1 US$
Spread35 %
Se resuelve1 nov 2026el próximo mes

Historial de probabilidades

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Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%29 sept, 15:2929 sept, 18:4429 sept, 21:5930 sept, 01:14

No hay datos registrados antes del 29 sept en este período.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Opus" and be designated as version 5.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Opus 6, while models whose name does not include "Opus" or which retain a version designation below 5.6, such as Claude Opus 5.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Next Claude Opus released by December 31, 2026?Polymarket78 % YesAbierto
Next Claude Opus released by November 30, 2026?Polymarket67 % YesAbierto

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A las 30 sept, 01:20 UTC