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Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?: Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 58% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?

No80 %
At least 58%21 %

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Spread37 %
Se resuelve25 ene 2027dentro de 4 meses

Historial de probabilidades

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Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%29 sept, 14:2929 sept, 17:5929 sept, 21:3030 sept, 01:01

No hay datos registrados antes del 29 sept en este período.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 58% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the Student List - Students Win percentage of valid votes in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election. It is calculated as 100 × the list’s vote count divided by the total valid-ballot count in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places, with exact halfway values rounded up. Preliminary or partial tallies do not qualify. A displayed percentage calculated using all ballots cast is not used; invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from this market’s denominator. This explicitly selects the nationwide general report under POLITICALSTAT’s release-selection provision. Later revisions, corrections or updates to that report do not affect resolution. If no qualifying report is released by expiration, the contract’s last-fair-price rule applies.

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A las 30 sept, 01:45 UTC