How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?: Will Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

No75 %
525 %

Precio comprobado el

Operar
Define tu país para ver dónde puedes operar.Definir tu país →
Abre la plataforma en una pestaña nueva, a través de Predxy.
Volumen 24 h119 US$
Volumen 7 d—
Volumen 30 d—
Liquidez—
Spread1 %
Se resuelve4 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

Historial de probabilidades

Arrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%29 sept, 02:4329 sept, 15:5230 sept, 05:0130 sept, 18:10

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

If Democrats win 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details. Candidates of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party count as Democrats.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. Polymarket excludes special elections and includes certain independent caucus determinations; Kalshi explicitly counts Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidates and permits accelerated determination after media projections. They also have different listed resolution times and sources/rules, but these are settlement differences rather than different questions.
  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?

    This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Minnesota in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

  • Kalshieste mercado

    How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?: Will Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

    If Democrats win 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details. Candidates of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party count as Democrats.

    leído 30 sept, 06:48 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

Actividad en la plataforma

Titulares—
Valor en posiciones—
Operaciones (24 h)—
Operaciones—
Interés abierto—
Comentarios0

Debate en Predxy

Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.

Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.

A las 30 sept, 18:49 UTC