PolymarketAbierto

Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on September 30?

Yes95 %
No5 %

Precio comprobado el

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Volumen 24 h—
Volumen 7 d—
Volumen 30 d—
Liquidez12,9 US$
Spread10 %
Se resuelve30 sept 2026dentro de 5 horas

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%28 sept, 06:3028 sept, 22:3129 sept, 14:3230 sept, 06:33Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on September 30?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on September 30?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on September 30?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on September 30?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on September 30?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on September 30?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on September 30?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on September 30?Polymarket95 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on September 30?Polymarket98 % NoAbierto
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 1°C or below on September 30?Polymarket99 % NoAbierto

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A las 30 sept, 06:40 UTC