PolymarketAbierto

OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?

Yes77 %
No24 %

Precio comprobado el

Operar
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Volumen 24 h121 US$
Volumen 7 d2,8 mil US$
Volumen 30 d2,8 mil US$
Liquidez1,4 mil US$
Spread5 %
Se resuelve1 nov 2026el próximo mes

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%27 sept28 sept29 sept30 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

On September 25, 2026, amid reports that its AI agents had probed U.S. government websites, including those of the Census Bureau and Education Department, OpenAI disclosed a pause in training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it has resumed training covered by the pause announced on September 25, 2026, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resuming training means resuming, in part or in full, training suspended under the pause announced on September 25, 2026, including beginning a fresh training run in place of a suspended run. A qualifying announcement must be made through OpenAI's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. The totality of the announcement and its surrounding context must clearly establish that training covered by the pause announced on September 25 has resumed, even if the announcement does not name the incident or specify the date the pause was announced. Statements that training is permitted, planned, or expected to restart do not by themselves qualify. Training that was not subject to the pause announced on September 25, 2026, does not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the announcement is later modified or withdrawn, or training is subsequently paused again. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?Polymarket63 % NoAbierto
OpenAI resumes training by October 10, 2026?Polymarket76 % NoAbierto
OpenAI resumes training by October 5, 2026?Polymarket80 % NoAbierto
OpenAI resumes training by September 30, 2026?Polymarket95 % NoAbierto

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A las 30 sept, 20:00 UTC