Will 10 or more states be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 29, 2026. Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes". The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Fuentehttps://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspx
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will 3-4 states be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will 5-6 states be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will 7-9 states be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will no states be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will 1-2 states be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
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A las 2 oct, 19:08 UTC