Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place: Will Liberal Democrats finish 3rd in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Precio comprobado el
Historial de probabilidades
Probabilidades implícitas del mercado · Todo el historial registradoArrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar
Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
If the certified results place Liberal Democrats in 3rd place in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage In case of an exact tie for third place, markets resolve to $1/(number of tied entities), rounded down. A write-in candidate achieving the specified rank resolves all named candidate or party markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" market exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Resolution follows the London Borough of Camden's final certified result, not preliminary election-night results. If an unlisted party or unlisted independent candidate finishes third, every listed market resolves NO. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond Oct 8, 2026, or no certified results are available by expiration, all markets resolve NO.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma este minutoDebate en Predxy
Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.
Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
A las 30 sept, 02:54 UTC