Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 8 percentage points? Democrats, ≥8%
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Reglas de resolución
If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election. The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 6 percentage points? Democrats, ≥6% | Kalshi | 83 % Democrats, ≥6% | Abierto |
| Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 10 percentage points? Democrats, ≥10% | Kalshi | 57 % No | Abierto |
| Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 12 percentage points? Democrats, ≥12% | Kalshi | 76 % No | Abierto |
| Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 14 percentage points? Democrats, ≥14% | Kalshi | 89 % No | Abierto |
| Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 16 percentage points? Democrats, ≥16% | Kalshi | 93 % No | Abierto |
| Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 4 percentage points? Democrats, ≥4% | Kalshi | 89 % Democrats, ≥4% | Abierto |
| Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 2 percentage points? Democrats, ≥2% | Kalshi | 97 % Democrats, ≥2% | Abierto |
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A las 2 oct, 03:51 UTC