What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.6
El precio aún no se ha comprobado de forma independiente.
Historial de probabilidades
Probabilidades implícitas del mercado · Todo el historial registradoArrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar
No hay datos registrados antes del 16 sept en este período.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 16, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.8 | Kalshi | 98 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026? Magnitude of at least 7.0 | Kalshi | 99 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.0 | Kalshi | 74 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.4 | Kalshi | 90 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.2 | Kalshi | 84 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026? Magnitude of at least 5.6 | Kalshi | 93 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026? Magnitude of at least 5.8 | Kalshi | 73 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026? Magnitude of at least 5.2 | Kalshi | 98 % No | Abierto |
| What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026? Magnitude of at least 5.4 | Kalshi | 94 % No | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma este minutoDebate en Predxy
Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.
Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
A las 1 oct, 07:23 UTC