Bank of Japan Decision in October: 50+ bps decrease

No99 %
Yes1 %

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Se resuelve30 oct 2026el próximo mes

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%14 sept18 sept22 sept26 sept29 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 ( https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm ). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan ( https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm ), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

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Comparables, no idénticas. The published resolution criteria are materially identical, including the BOJ as primary source, possible credible-reporting consensus, early resolution, and fallback if no statement is released.
  • Limitlesseste mercado

    Bank of Japan Decision in October: 50+ bps decrease

    The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 ( https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm ). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan ( https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm ), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    0 titulares · leído 29 sept, 20:31 UTC

  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    62 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 28 sept, 21:41 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Bank of Japan Decision in October: 25 bps decreaseLimitless99 % NoAbierto
Bank of Japan Decision in October: No changeLimitless78 % YesAbierto
Bank of Japan Decision in October: 25 bps increaseLimitless78 % NoAbierto
Bank of Japan Decision in October: 50+ bps increaseLimitless99 % NoAbierto

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A las 29 sept, 23:55 UTC