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ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round): Will Ronald Russell receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?

At least 28%96 %
No5 %

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Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%12 sept13 sept14 sept16 sept17 sept

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronald Russell in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ronald Russell ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round): Will Ronald Russell receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Kalshi93 % NoAbierto
ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round): Will Ronald Russell receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Kalshi88 % NoAbierto
ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round): Will Ronald Russell receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Kalshi56 % NoAbierto
ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round): Will Ronald Russell receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Kalshi64 % At least 32%Abierto
ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round): Will Ronald Russell receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Kalshi63 % At least 34%Abierto
ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round): Will Ronald Russell receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Kalshi91 % NoAbierto
ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round): Will Ronald Russell receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Kalshi90 % At least 30%Abierto

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A las 30 sept, 11:24 UTC