KalshiAbierto

NJ-03 House election: Michael McGuire vote percent: Will Michael McGuire receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?

At least 38%66 %

No34 %

Precio comprobado el 29 sept, 22:38 UTC

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Spread10 %

Se resuelve3 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

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Reglas de resolución

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael McGuire in the 2026 NJ-03 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael McGuire ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Otras variantes de este evento

Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.

Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
NJ-03 House election: Michael McGuire vote percent: Will Michael McGuire receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?	Kalshi	65 % No	—	—	Abierto
NJ-03 House election: Michael McGuire vote percent: Will Michael McGuire receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?	Kalshi	51 % At least 40%	—	—	Abierto
NJ-03 House election: Michael McGuire vote percent: Will Michael McGuire receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?	Kalshi	80 % At least 36%	—	—	Abierto
NJ-03 House election: Michael McGuire vote percent: Will Michael McGuire receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?	Kalshi	89 % At least 34%	—	—	Abierto
NJ-03 House election: Michael McGuire vote percent: Will Michael McGuire receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?	Kalshi	95 % At least 32%	—	—	Abierto
NJ-03 House election: Michael McGuire vote percent: Will Michael McGuire receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?	Kalshi	94 % No	—	—	Abierto
NJ-03 House election: Michael McGuire vote percent: Will Michael McGuire receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?	Kalshi	88 % No	—	—	Abierto
NJ-03 House election: Michael McGuire vote percent: Will Michael McGuire receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?	Kalshi	78 % No	—	—	Abierto

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A las 29 sept, 23:25 UTC