NY-22 House election: John Mannion vote percent: Will John Mannion receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-22 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Mannion in the 2026 NY-22 House election is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by John Mannion ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for John Mannion across all certified ballot lines are combined.