Brazil presidential election: first round winner?: Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No100 %
Renan Santos0 %

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Se resuelve4 oct 2026dentro de 5 días

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%7 sept13 sept18 sept24 sept29 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

If Renan Santos wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Comparables, no idénticas. Polymarket specifies settlement using credible reporting and, ultimately, Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court results, with a June 30, 2027 fallback; Kalshi publishes no resolution source or comparable fallback criteria. Their listed settlement times also differ, but this does not change the underlying question.
  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

    A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

    49 titulares · 8 comentarios · leído 28 sept, 00:47 UTC

  • Kalshieste mercado

    Brazil presidential election: first round winner?: Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    If Renan Santos wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    leído 29 sept, 22:21 UTC

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A las 29 sept, 23:50 UTC