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Georgia's 1st District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points? Kingston, 6+ pts

Kingston, 6+ pts70 %
Republicans, 6+ pts30 %

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Volumen 24 h0 US$
Volumen 7 d—
Volumen 30 d—
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Spread6 %
Se resuelve3 nov 2027el próximo año

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%7 sept13 sept18 sept24 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Georgia's 1st District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Republican Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Republican Party will be summed. If the Republican Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Republican Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Republican Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Republican Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Georgia's 1st District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House election be at least 21 percentage points? Kingston, 21+ ptsKalshi90 % Republicans, 21+ ptsAbierto
Georgia's 1st District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points? Kingston, 9+ ptsKalshi55 % Kingston, 9+ ptsAbierto
Georgia's 1st District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points? Kingston, 24+ ptsKalshi90 % Republicans, 24+ ptsAbierto
Georgia's 1st District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points? Kingston, 3+ ptsKalshi82 % Kingston, 3+ ptsAbierto
Georgia's 1st District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points? Kingston, 18+ ptsKalshi83 % Republicans, 18+ ptsAbierto
Georgia's 1st District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House election be at least 12 percentage points? Kingston, 12+ ptsKalshi59 % Republicans, 12+ ptsAbierto
Georgia's 1st District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House election be at least 15 percentage points? Kingston, 15+ ptsKalshi69 % Republicans, 15+ ptsAbierto

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A las 30 sept, 15:25 UTC