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New York's 14th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 14th District House election be at least 52 percentage points? Cortez, 52+ pts

Democrats, 52+ pts68 %
Cortez, 52+ pts32 %

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Volumen 24 h0 US$
Volumen 7 d—
Volumen 30 d—
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Spread9 %
Se resuelve3 nov 2027el próximo año

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%7 sept13 sept19 sept25 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 14th District by 52 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
New York's 14th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 14th District House election be at least 58 percentage points? Cortez, 58+ ptsKalshi86 % Democrats, 58+ ptsAbierto
New York's 14th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 14th District House election be at least 55 percentage points? Cortez, 55+ ptsKalshi79 % Democrats, 55+ ptsAbierto
New York's 14th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 14th District House election be at least 49 percentage points? Cortez, 49+ ptsKalshi57 % Democrats, 49+ ptsAbierto
New York's 14th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 14th District House election be at least 46 percentage points? Cortez, 46+ ptsKalshi50 % Democrats, 46+ ptsAbierto
New York's 14th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 14th District House election be at least 43 percentage points? Cortez, 43+ ptsKalshi64 % Cortez, 43+ ptsAbierto
New York's 14th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 14th District House election be at least 37 percentage points? Cortez, 37+ ptsKalshi86 % Cortez, 37+ ptsAbierto
New York's 14th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 14th District House election be at least 34 percentage points? Cortez, 34+ ptsKalshi94 % Cortez, 34+ ptsAbierto
New York's 14th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 14th District House election be at least 40 percentage points? Cortez, 40+ ptsKalshi79 % Cortez, 40+ ptsAbierto

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A las 30 sept, 22:54 UTC