US trade deficit for 2028: Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2028 be above $1.0 trillion?
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Reglas de resolución
If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2028 is strictly above $1.0 trillion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data. Because the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit. For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion. Resolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2028. Subsequent annual revisions will not be considered.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| US trade deficit for 2028: Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2028 be above $800 billion? | Kalshi | 92 % Above $800 billion | Abierto |
| US trade deficit for 2028: Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2028 be above $900 billion? | Kalshi | 67 % Above $900 billion | Abierto |
| US trade deficit for 2028: Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2028 be above $1.2 trillion? | Kalshi | 91 % No | Abierto |
| US trade deficit for 2028: Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2028 be above $500 billion? | Kalshi | 97 % Above $500 billion | Abierto |
| US trade deficit for 2028: Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2028 be above $600 billion? | Kalshi | 97 % Above $600 billion | Abierto |
| US trade deficit for 2028: Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2028 be above $1.1 trillion? | Kalshi | 83 % No | Abierto |
| US trade deficit for 2028: Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2028 be above $700 billion? | Kalshi | 97 % Above $700 billion | Abierto |
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A las 1 oct, 10:08 UTC