Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

Jerônimo Rodrigues66 %
No34 %

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Se resuelve4 oct 2026pasado mañana

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 sept9 sept17 sept24 sept2 octLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

If Jerônimo Rodrigues wins the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. Polymarket resolves by June 30, 2027 using credible reporting or Brazil’s TSE if needed, while Kalshi may resolve early after designated media sources declare a winner and lists October 4, 2026 as its settlement time. The venues also label the affirmative outcome differently ("Yes" versus "Jerônimo Rodrigues").
  • PolymarketAbrir →

    Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

    The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

    162 titulares · 10 comentarios · leído 1 oct, 23:36 UTC

  • Kalshieste mercado

    Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

    If Jerônimo Rodrigues wins the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

    leído 1 oct, 19:01 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Kalshi63 % NoAbierto
Will Ronaldo Mansur win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Kalshi99 % NoAbierto
Will Aroldo Felix win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Kalshi99 % NoAbierto
Will Ariel Capistrano win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Kalshi99 % NoAbierto
Will Maria Bona win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Kalshi99 % NoAbierto

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A las 2 oct, 09:01 UTC