Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | Polymarket | 83 % No | Abierto |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | Polymarket | 60 % No | Abierto |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | Polymarket | 67 % Yes | Abierto |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 95 % No | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 7 díasMejor compra 81 % · mejor venta 82 %
Mayores titulares
- Contentious-Dinnerdate74989412290282424785641548034226561759737333823859293272015453303249060892790
- balthazar9889507308429035625291781429850448661734268241881449316488881149481104225498
- whispercatalyst9889507308429035625291781429850448661734268241881449316488881149481104225498
- Active-Broad9889507308429035625291781429850448661734268241881449316488881149481104225498
- mewmew174989412290282424785641548034226561759737333823859293272015453303249060892790
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Debate en Predxy
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12 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- mvaulina57 · hace 29 días
any rumors?
- Harmful-Gosling · hace 2 meses
any reference?
- dabitron · hace 2 meses
gemini 3.5 pro leaked in lmarena
- lamyk · hace 2 meses
ncw buy my shares please or sell into my order, 58c y, 42c n, both ok. i need this.
- Klutzy-Comma · hace 3 meses
gemini pro is realeseing on july 24 lol
- Bogus-Killing · hace 3 meses
you are not a leaker sonion its being delayed because they had to completely redo the ground work. being it was trained on an older model. more modern leaks show it mogs fable
- stray23 · hace 3 meses
I believe you`re wrong. See the
- Mikelious · hace 3 meses
Leaker: "3.5 pro is delayed because of the current "model threat" situation, or because internal 3.5 pro still doesn't match or beat 5.6 sol or fable 5"
- Mikelious · hace 3 meses
Gemini is in worst place out of the other two (GPT and Claude). Don't lose your money kids their model will probably only release on August.
- Natural-Anchovy · hace 3 meses
Leaks talking about a delayed release cause the model sucks
- tbkboss · hace 3 meses
Google ai ppl leaving maybe? Idk
- iForgor · hace 3 meses
What happened?
A las 29 sept, 21:29 UTC