Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Precio comprobado el
Historial de probabilidades
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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 3 díasMejor compra 88 % · mejor venta 89 %
Mayores titulares
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296685377241479106312434941600365981690112200050573592763839850833219429995374007
- Popopolly17398972530137600675762712744895375915722542439211248541948693649429200536957
- anoin12385377241479106312434941600365981690112200050573592763839850833219429995374007
- grandvalira85377241479106312434941600365981690112200050573592763839850833219429995374007
- rainbowlilies85377241479106312434941600365981690112200050573592763839850833219429995374007
Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.
Operaciones recientes
- BUY89 %10 US$hace 4 días
- BUY12 %4,8 US$hace 4 días
- BUY12 %6,2 US$hace 4 días
- BUY12 %4,8 US$hace 4 días
- BUY89 %44,5 US$hace 4 días
- BUY89 %89 US$hace 4 días
Debate en Predxy
Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.
Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
A las 30 sept, 09:35 UTC