Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2028?

No88 %
Yes13 %

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Se resuelve1 ene 2028el próximo año

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 sept9 sept16 sept23 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

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Comparables, no idénticas. The venues differ in their stated resolution procedures: Polymarket may use official statements or a consensus of credible reporting, while Kalshi requires reporting by a Source Agency and excludes exploratory statements. Their settlement timestamps also differ, but both use the same substantive deadline of before January 1, 2028.
  • Polymarketeste mercado

    Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2028?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

  • KalshiAbrir →

    Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028? Before 2028

    If Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.

    leído 30 sept, 10:06 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket85 % YesAbierto
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket62 % NoAbierto
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket82 % NoAbierto
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket63 % YesAbierto
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket62 % NoAbierto
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket86 % NoAbierto
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket59 % YesAbierto
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket90 % NoAbierto
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket83 % NoAbierto
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket87 % NoAbierto
Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket82 % NoAbierto
Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket81 % NoAbierto
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket77 % NoAbierto
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket86 % NoAbierto
Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket88 % NoAbierto
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket85 % NoAbierto
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket84 % NoAbierto
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket95 % NoAbierto
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket86 % NoAbierto
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket52 % NoAbierto
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket92 % NoAbierto
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket72 % NoAbierto
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket82 % NoAbierto
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket79 % NoAbierto
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket89 % NoAbierto

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A las 30 sept, 11:00 UTC