Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Abierto |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Abierto |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 99 % No | Abierto |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 79 % No | Abierto |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 89 % No | Abierto |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % Yes | Abierto |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.25% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 90 % Yes | Abierto |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 51 % No | Abierto |
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A las 1 oct, 13:57 UTC